Some considerations in relation to the
THINK-UP workshop 14-15.12.2000

 

Author

 

Thomas Krag
Transport Consultant
Representative of the European Cyclists' Federation
email:
tk@thomaskrag.com , www.thomaskrag.com

   

What is THINK-UP?

General information about the THINK-UP thematic network can be found on www.netr.fr/think-up.

Search for competitive markets

In the following I will outline some thoughts and suggestions in relation to identifying "core and competitive markets" in passenger transport.

Alternative to questionnaire

I do this instead of filling out the questionnaire distributed at the THINK-UP workshop in Dresden the 14th December ("segmentation of passenger markets - users"). I find that the questionnaire in a too high degree limits the various areas for action which do actually exist, and would feel my expertise in the transport field compromised and misused by accepting these limitations.

Focus on short and medium distance

The considerations will mainly be focused on short and medium distance travels in urban areas. The issue of land use planning will not be dealt with, and references to literature will not be included.

As a starting point I will give some comments on terminology and the market approach to transport.

Headlines

Some headlines are

  • transport is linked to activities
  • transport is plastic of nature
  • market conditions are missing in the transport area
  • "slow modes" is not a good term
  • the car is the core market
  • bicycles behave like cars
  • obvious perspectives for public transport are ignored
  • combination with individual means improve reliability
  • bicycle tourism saves car travel

 

On terminology and the market approach to transport

"Demand" for transport

In connection with the market approach to transport, the word "demand" is used in at least two different meanings:

  • the amount of transport which people consume under the given (market) conditions
  • the amount of transport which people need in order to fulfil their necessary activities

In the first meaning transport is considered a product in competition with all the other products offered on the market, and something which one can choose to consume in an amount where there is an optimum relation between the money spent and the welfare achieved.

In the other meaning transport is considered something directly and inevitably connected to necessary activities.

Both meanings address key issues of transport but neither of them are precise.

Transport is linked to activities

The first one, the "market approach", thus fails to see transport as linked to non-transport activities. Usually transport is not used in itself but closely linked to activities like going to school, work, shopping, visits, adventure, etc.

Transport is not something fixed or strictly necessary

The other one, the "needs approach", fails to incorporate the "plastic" nature of transport. The amount of transport consumed thus not only reflects "necessity" but is also to a high degree influenced by how easy an access one has to fast and efficient transport. Moreover, an activity coupled to long distance transport can quite often be interchanged with an activity involving far less and even no transport. One can, for example, choose between going to the cinema or staying home watching the television. And one can choose between travelling to another country over the weekend or searching a similar adventure in the near neighbourhood.

The destination can be changed

A wish to change the travel patterns should, thus, not only involve a discussion of alternative means of transport in connection with a given origin-destination, but should also address a potential change of the destination and corresponding length of the trip derived from the activity in question.

Some conclusions to this is

  • transport is not a primary consumer good but is derived from other human activities
  • changes in the transport consumption can be achieved as well from a change in the means of transport used for a given trip as from a change of the trip connected to the originating activity
  • the word "demand" should be used with care and replaced by e.g. "consumption" where appropriate.

A search for "core and competitive markets" thus can be rephrased to

  • finding out for which types of people and which types of trips a change in the means of transport would be possible and desirable
  • finding out for which types of people and which types of activities a diminishing of the trip length involved would be possible.

Some relevant examples of this will be given in the following.

Missing market conditions

In connection with a market approach to transport it is worth noting that one of the must fundamental problems of the modern transport system - congestion of roads - is related to non-market conditions.

Congestion represents an unbalanced situation where a small increase in the number of cars or whichever transport means attempting to use a given part of the infrastructure leads to a significant decrease of the overall performance of the system. Under ideal market conditions the shortage of the resource asked for - namely available infrastructure - would result in an increased price for using the infrastructure (which may in some instances in term result in more infrastructure being built).

In any case there would - at least according to the theory - be a balance point, where the price of using the infrastructure at a given time would be felt acceptable by only so many, as the system would still be well functioning and not would be blocked by an excess of traffic.

Road user charges could represent the market

The introduction of market conditions has in a wide range of areas shown an impressive ability to solve shortage problems by achieving a balance between price and supply of a given issue demanded by (part of) the population.

So far as transport and transport problems are concerned it would be logical to approach one of the fundamental ones - the lack of balance between supply and demand for infrastructure - by applying market conditions.

This would imply that road infrastructure was not as a general rule given away for free, but "sold" in terms of introducing road user charges for using certain parts of the system. Such charges should in case not only depend on the place but also on the time of the day.

It is already known to charge for the use of certain roads or bridges. There are also a few Asian examples of road user charges used systematically to fight road congestion. So far European attempts to use such charges to fight road congestion have, however, not been tried in practice due to political reasons, not least a significant scepticism expressed from some of the road users. A number of studies indicate that the general acceptance of road user charges increases, if the revenue is used for transport purposes, and does not go directly into the general flow of money originating from various taxes.

"Slow modes" is not a good term

In the discussion the non-motorised modes cycling and walking is sometimes designated "slow". In practice, however, these modes are often used where they offer a faster alternative than the motorised modes.

Since the word "slow" in the modern society is often regarded synonymous with "bad" it is suggested to use the expression "non motorised modes" if walking and cycling are regarded together.

Another issue, which will be discussed later, is that there are significant differences between the two modes, for which reason they should usually be regarded separately.

 

On alternatives and user segmentation

Relevant urban modes

So far as urban transport is concerned the relevant modes are

  • walking
  • cycling
  • public transport (bus, tram or train)
  • car

as well as combinations thereof.

Car is the core market

If one of these modes shall be designated a "core market" it will be the car. Very comprehensive evidence exists on the phenomenon, that when it comes to an actual choice and a car is available, a major part of the population will choose the car, often even for very short journeys.

Need for alternatives

Trends are forecasting an increase in car ownership, also in urban areas. Cartraffic, however, leads to major congestion problems in urban areas since there is not enough space available. And the general acceptance of the environmental impact from cartraffic is decreasing.

Said very shortly:

Almost everybody wants to go by car. But nobody are ready to accept the consequences if this should be brought about.

This is a good reason for looking at alternatives.

Public transport the least obvious alternative

Often public transport is looked upon as the alternative to cartraffic. The two means have, however, mainly one thing in common, e.g. that they are both motorised.

Walking and cycling are, as also the car, individual means of transport offering a flexibility far outweighing the usual forms of public transport. Since a big part of the car journeys are short, these non motorised means of transport are the most relevant alternatives to look into as a starting point.

What is the "supply"?

Both walking and cycling can be looked upon from a "supply" point of view:

  • readiness to walk or cycle by the individuals
  • availability of space for walking or cycling

Readiness to walk

Modern people are not happy to walk far, 1-2 km is usually the maximum. This is not only an individual question but depends also of the local culture.

In some cities - with Venice as one of the most well known examples - people walk a lot, and walking gives an important contribution to the transport system. In others walking is not used to far the same degree.

So far no transport system has been developed which can work totally without walking involved. Paradoxically airports usually requires that the passengers walk over long distances.

Availability of walking space

A highly relevant issue, though often ignored, relates to the availability of walking space. Examples of cities where priority for cars has led to a deterioration of the possibilities for walking are numerous. The phenomenon can be represented by

  • no or too little space available for walking
  • poor paving quality
  • detours introduced by traffic fences or separate (off road) paths
  • delays resulting from traffic lights not taking the waiting time for pedestrians into account.

A pro-walking policy will involve

  • proper space allocation for pedestrians
  • pedestrian route planning avoiding detours and giving priority to good paving
  • pedestrian priority at signals.

Bicycles behave similar to cars

So far as cycling is concerned similar matters apply.

The bicycle is however, though non-motorised as the pedestrian, very different in performance. Cycling speed (15-25 km/h) is thus more comparable to urban car speeds (30-50 km/h, though in rush hours down to 5 km/h or less) than walking speeds (4-6 km/h).

For this reason bicycle infrastructure should be derived from road design rather than from how footpaths traditionally are built.

Availability of bicycle infrastructure

Cycling fits perfectly into a road system without special bicycle infrastructure given the conditions

  • car speeds are reasonably low
  • cars are represented in numbers leaving room for the bicycles

are met. In other cases there is a need for specific bicycle infrastructure, e.g.:

  • bicycle tracks
  • bicycle lanes
  • separate bicycle ways.

Readiness to cycle

Moreover, a "bicycle culture" needs to be in place if normal people shall choose the bicycle. Experience shows that it usually takes quite a long time to develop a bicycle culture and that such a development requires that reasonable conditions are in place, e.g. low car speeds or sufficient bicycle infrastructure.

Safety is often raised as an argument for not cycling and perceived safety is among the major deterrents for cycling. Experience on the other hand shows a positive correlation between bicycle safety and the number of cyclists. The more people are cycling the less is the risk for the individual to have a bicycle accident.

Missing public transport perspectives

Public transport is basically multimodal. Almost nobody can jump directly from the office or the living room into a public transport vehicle.

However, very often the approach to public transport is limited to consider only one of several multimodal options, namely

  • walking and public transport.

There are two very interesting alternatives that should be looked into, e.g.:

  • cycling and public transport
  • car and public transport.

The often stated lack of success for the public transport is closely related to the failure to see how most can be made out of its advantages and how the disadvantages can be overcome in combination with other individual means than walking.

By combining fast and frequent public transport lines with bicycles one can thus achieve a system which is at the same time fast, flexible and space efficient. Moreover the usefulness of the car for longer distances in areas with a less dense population can be combined with public transport to avoid the disadvantage of cartraffic in urban areas. Bike and ride is relevant in both ends of the journey while park and ride primarily is of interest outside the city centres.

Improving reliability

The problem about combining walking and public transport is that this usually involves the change between different lines (means) of public transport. This gives the disadvantage of waiting, changing and loosing connections.

When combining the public transport with the wider ranging bicycles or cars, the need for feeder lines and changes between lines is significantly reduced, and the reliability of the transport chain greatly improved.

3 options

The 3 following basic options are available:

  • bike and ride
  • bicycles as accompanied luggage.
  • park and ride

The combination of public transport and cars is restricted to the park and ride option. Bicycles, on the other hand, can as well be parked at the public transport terminals as taken in the public transport as accompanied luggage.

Dynamic image

The latter option is very popular with the users since it offers a flexibility comparable - if not superior - to using a car. Its use in rush hours is however restricted to a rather small part of the users, as bicycles take up quite a lot of space in the public transport vehicles. The option is in any case important as it represents a dream similar to the car and gives the system of bicycles and public transport a positive, dynamic image.

Supply also means good parking facilities

The considerations move the discussion of supply of public transport as such to include as well

  • good parking facilities for bicycles at public transport terminals
  • possibility of taking bicycles as accompanied luggage
  • good park and ride facilities (including bicycle parking) at the edges of the city.

Moreover, fast and frequent lines should be given priority since it is here the combinations with bicycles and cars are far the most interesting.

Change of perceptions

Supply as a necessary precondition for use ("purchase" in the market approach) is however only part of the question.

It is also imperative to change perceptions in order to make more people using the alternatives. This can relate to simple matters as improving the information about the alternatives. Image campaigns can also come in question.

Such activities can be done in many ways and is closely related to creating a culture of e.g. walking or cycling. It is treated in depth in the literature and can also be demonstrated from a range of actual cases.

Highly educated people in the potential user segment

Another very basic question is however who will be ready to change their behaviour. This is also something that has been studied.

Paradoxically, in spite of walking, cycling and public transport being relatively cheap, those most probable to change over to these means will be people of higher salaries and higher education, as well as students, though.

This should be seen in relation to the positive health aspects of a physically active lifestyle and a less tradition oriented behaviour among the people in question.

This enables, at the same time, that the alternative means can be given a high profile in information and promotion campaigns.

Long distance travels

A few remarks should be given on long distance transport.

The area is of increasing importance, mainly because there is an increased interest in tourism and a quick increase in the number of kilometres travelled.

Airplanes are also public transport

An attempt to switch from car to public transport will not be beneficial in environmental terms as long as the occupancy of the car is high and the public transport alternative chosen is air transport.

This is another example illustrating that "switch from car to public transport" is a too simple interpretation of the potential solutions.

Bicycle tourism

Another remark should be given on bicycle tourism, e.g. the activity where people spend their holidays cycling in a distant area.

From an environmental point of view there is no advantage in bicycle tourism if one only takes into account the usually motorised travel involved to bring the people and their bicycles (if not rented) to the starting point. It can even have a negative impact to put bicycles on the roof of the car as this might increase the use of gasoline by 20%.

One should however also take into consideration that bicycle tourism is very friendly to the local environment. Moreover, an obvious alternative to cycling for many of the people in question would be going around by car. The cycling holidays will prevent a considerable amount of cardriving.

Adventure could be brought about nearby

By tradition human beings have set distance equal to the degree of adventure, which is - together with the relatively lowered prices - probably are the main reasons for the increase in long distance travels.

It should be considered to change this trend by pointing out adventurous targets for holidays closer to where people live. The previously mentioned segment of people could be a relevant target also in this connection.

  

Thomas Krag/European Cyclists' Federation, January 2001